Low, But Rising PSA--Wait for Imaging or Act Now?

Posted by bikeman1 @bikeman1, 4 days ago

I watched the entire PCRI conference on 4/25 (https://pcri.org), with two well-known experts: Dr. Epstein (Pathology) and Dr. Kwon (Relapse). Both were very relevant to my situation: 72 years old; RALP on 9/22/25; PSA on 12/30: < .01 (standard); PSA on 4/15: 0.171 (ultra sensitive) (next test on 5/4 to determine trend). My "bad news" and "good news" data are below. I have appointments at Johns Hopkins and MSK in NYC to get their recommendations on next steps.
Dr. Epstein emphasized the greater likelihood of BCR and worse outcomes if Cribriform is present, as this group had discussed before. But he emphasized Intraductal Carcinoma (IDC) as even more important (and flat out said a patient should get a BRAC2 test if he has IDC, which I am scheduling).
Dr. Kwon made a strong case for waiting for imaging results before moving ahead with salvage RT and/or hormone therapy. He argued that in relapse cases prostate cancer frequently does not start in the prostate/pelvic area and spread from there but it can be anywhere in your body and shooting radiation “blind” to the pelvic area carries significant risks. He also cited 3 studies showing better outcomes by waiting for imaging results before proceeding (at 3:54:10). Subsequent Q and A near the end with Dr. Scholz emphasized the value of MR imaging in these situations and how under-utilized it is.
I have emailed Dr Kwon to ask if his general approach still applies to someone like me with a lot of high risk factors (see below), but haven't heard back yet. As this group has discussed, studies show better outcomes in high risk cases by starting treatment with lower PSAs (and thus not waiting for cancer growth large enough to be seen on imaging). I looked at 2 of the 3 studies and didnt see discussion of this issue. I will let you know if I get a response.

"Bad News":
GL 7 (4+3)
IDC
Cribriform
EPE
.89 Decipher score

"Good News":
Clean margins, lymph nodes, seminal vesicles during surgery
Clean CPMSA PET scan on 8/25/25 (pre-surgery)

Interested in more discussions like this? Go to the Prostate Cancer Support Group.

Profile picture for brucemobile @brucemobile

@edinmaryland I had the RP August of 2025, after the surgery my Urologist sent me to an RO for a follow up if there was a need for salvage radiation. What he told me is if my PSA got to .1 we would be making plans to treat with radiation. If my PSA went to .2 we would begin treatment. The reason for using PSA as a baseline for treatment was that a PetScan would not see it till it was far beyond when treatment started. Just mine and my doctor’s 2 cents here.

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@brucemobile
Thanks so much Bruce

I am really in the data collection phase and will see a RO at Hopkins in three to four week. All this information is super helpful. She already has me set up for some labs but I do not know what they might be yet, She was recommended by others on this list and luckily I will be able to see her

Does radiation after RARP connect with more incontinence or regression?

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Profile picture for bikeman1 @bikeman1

I was having a hard time reconciling the two conflicting sets of studies: one shows waiting is better, the other shows starting treatment sooner is better (and sooner than hitting .025 is best).
I think @dhasper made a really good point--what works from a public health perspective, may not work for me, with my particular characteristics. I couldn't find this when I looked at the "wait" studies, but I bet the people studied were mostly of "average" risk profiles--not people like me and @dhasper with higher risk profiles. And @suftohealth88 put it in better perspective: 2/3 of the men DID benefit from earlier intervention. I haven't yet consulted with my wife to get her perspective, but I am leaning strongly to starting soon. I also am lining up an appointment with Dr. Paller (thank you Jeff).
You all are great!

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@bikeman1
I am seeing Dr Paller as well

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Profile picture for dhasper @dhasper

I am in the exact same situation and decided to act now. The question certainly isn't settled and Mayo is 2 months into a long term trial to determine whether waiting to see the cancer is as effective as early treatment with radiation and adt as indicated. So when you recur they present this option and ask if you want to postpone treatment. As you, I have idc , cribiform, early recurrence and a doubling time of three to five months. I personally do not feel comfortable waiting and am proceeding immediately with treatment.

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@dhasper
Agree. Same here. Similar PC diagnosis. 10 months Post RP PSA rose to .2. PSMA PET/CT scan showed 1 lesion in pelvis. Biopsy confirmed cancer. Immediate SBRT in pelvis and started Orgovyx and Nubequa. PSA now undectable and side effects very manageable. Just tired a lot and weak. Still shot 82 last week - just need to adjust swing tempo! lol. Onward.

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I kind of just going through this now, 5 yrs after prostectomy undetectable, then PSA starting to rise and at .5 and PSMA PET/CT showed pelvic leasion small and possible left hip, but may have just been bone growth area absorbing tracer. Treated with radiation and PSA undetectable for 22 months with ADT & Bical, then started rising again .11, then .23, then the 4wks later .47 , so rapidly rising doubling every 4 weeks.

Medical Oncologist willing to wait to .5 to see if PSMA PET/CT with Pylarify could pick up anything. Had the scan when PSA was .47 and it showed nothing at all, the prior lesions were totally gone so both my Radiation Oncologist and 2 Medical Oncologist said start treatment with xzanti and continue ADT.

These are some very smart physicians, Harvard undergrad, Harvard Medical School, Professor of Medicine at Harvard, Dana Farber Cancer Research, another one Penn Medical and Yale so I have to listen to what they are telling me and it is a great way to stop worrying about every PSA tic or if I am doing the right thing, that is the biggest challenge.

So my advise make sure you take the time to assemble a top notch group of physicians that you can believe in and focus on fighting this disease and reduce some of the anxiety that we all have.

Reading many post some patients really don't like or trust their doctors, which is not the best situation IMO, get a good team and live your life to the fullest today none us know what tomorrow will bring.

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That is clearly up to you in what level of calculated risk that you are comfortable with. Clearly some will feel regardless because they have more aggressive characteristics in their cancer they must immediately begin treatment for BCR and that is fine if that is their decision. The newer emphasis on treatment on the PET image driven push versus the prior PSA increase treatment protocol is clearly not something thought up on a whim regardless of cancer characteristics. This decision is between you and your physician. The PET only became standard FDA approved imaging tool for detecting prostate cancer recurrence and staging in high risk patients in 2020-2021. The BCR PSA number generally accepted in the US is .2, yet under EAU guidelines it is .4. More studies are coming out showing comparable outcomes with image driven at a higher PSA then PSA increase at a lower level. Since the PET image driven studies clearly are around the five year level and not long term are very encouraging, although not long term and that can worry people. Regardless someone with aggressive characteristics may decide not want to wait, that is fine if that is what they want. I would not dismiss the PET driven. It goes back to how everyone regardless treated Gleason 6 (3+3) immediately with radiation or surgery. Today their is also a school of thought that Gleason 6 is not considered cancer yet. That is how active surveillance came in and now as earlier studies have shown in cases AS can continue with into Gleason 7. Aggressive Gleason 8 and 9’s prior to PET were almost always thought to have left the prostate capsule which clearly today that is not necessarily the case. Even today patients hear they have Gleason 6, and statistically have nothing at the present time to worry about, they do worry about being in that percent that maybe it turns aggressive and decide they want to have their Gleason 6 immediately treated with surgery or radiation and giving up their existing quality of life for who knows what side effects and how many years they might have gone without any treatment. The key is do you have confidence in waiting longer and that it will be caught in 6 months, another year by the PET imaging and that the end outcome won’t be any different. It was concerning in the past that things were so much worse if a person’s cancer had left the capsule, was in a lymph node. Yes, every additional characteristic is worse, but again it is the long term outcome and again if relatively the same, then it could be additional time with no additional new side effects. Many patients also feel once their diagnosis regardless of degree if treatment isn’t started within three months begin to panic when clinical studies clearly show 6 months between diagnosis and treatment is fine in outcome. The studies sure are not long term and everyone is thinking of themselves being here long term, but I think each person individually with their individual circumstances with their physician especially if from known cancer centers of excellence and up to date in all available information can balance this risk. It certainly is not one size fits all.

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Profile picture for gtin723 @gtin723

I kind of just going through this now, 5 yrs after prostectomy undetectable, then PSA starting to rise and at .5 and PSMA PET/CT showed pelvic leasion small and possible left hip, but may have just been bone growth area absorbing tracer. Treated with radiation and PSA undetectable for 22 months with ADT & Bical, then started rising again .11, then .23, then the 4wks later .47 , so rapidly rising doubling every 4 weeks.

Medical Oncologist willing to wait to .5 to see if PSMA PET/CT with Pylarify could pick up anything. Had the scan when PSA was .47 and it showed nothing at all, the prior lesions were totally gone so both my Radiation Oncologist and 2 Medical Oncologist said start treatment with xzanti and continue ADT.

These are some very smart physicians, Harvard undergrad, Harvard Medical School, Professor of Medicine at Harvard, Dana Farber Cancer Research, another one Penn Medical and Yale so I have to listen to what they are telling me and it is a great way to stop worrying about every PSA tic or if I am doing the right thing, that is the biggest challenge.

So my advise make sure you take the time to assemble a top notch group of physicians that you can believe in and focus on fighting this disease and reduce some of the anxiety that we all have.

Reading many post some patients really don't like or trust their doctors, which is not the best situation IMO, get a good team and live your life to the fullest today none us know what tomorrow will bring.

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@gtin723
While putting you on Xtandi Could bring your PSA back down it is not the standard of care most doctors follow. Here’s what the American Society of clinical oncology recommends if your PSA rises after having a prostatectomy. If they can’t find a metastasis using a PET scan, this becomes even more important.

From Ascopubs about what PSA to do salvage radiation.
≤0.2 ng/mL:
Starting at this level maximizes disease control and long-term survival. Patients treated at PSA < 0.2 ng/mL achieve higher rates of undetectable post-SRT PSA (56-70%) and improved 5-year progression-free survival (62.7-75%).
Delaying SRT beyond PSA ≥0.25 ng/mL increases mortality risk by ~50%.

0.2–0.5 ng/mL:
Still effective, particularly for patients with low-risk features (e.g., Gleason ≤7, slow PSA doubling time). The Journal of Clinical Oncology recommends SRT before PSA exceeds 0.25 ng/mL to preserve curative potential.

0.5–1.0 ng/mL:
Salvage radiation remains beneficial but may require combining with androgen deprivation therapy (ADT) for higher-risk cases.

This article discusses the above;
https://ascopost.com/news/march-2023/psa-level-at-time-of-salvage-radiation-therapy-after-radical-prostatectomy-and-risk-of-all-cause-mortality/
Some doctors want to wait for metastasis to show up so they can zap them. With such a fast rising PSA that seems a little different from SOC. I know I would want to ask my doctor why they are not considering salvage radiation.

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Profile picture for Jeff Marchi @jeffmarc

@gtin723
While putting you on Xtandi Could bring your PSA back down it is not the standard of care most doctors follow. Here’s what the American Society of clinical oncology recommends if your PSA rises after having a prostatectomy. If they can’t find a metastasis using a PET scan, this becomes even more important.

From Ascopubs about what PSA to do salvage radiation.
≤0.2 ng/mL:
Starting at this level maximizes disease control and long-term survival. Patients treated at PSA < 0.2 ng/mL achieve higher rates of undetectable post-SRT PSA (56-70%) and improved 5-year progression-free survival (62.7-75%).
Delaying SRT beyond PSA ≥0.25 ng/mL increases mortality risk by ~50%.

0.2–0.5 ng/mL:
Still effective, particularly for patients with low-risk features (e.g., Gleason ≤7, slow PSA doubling time). The Journal of Clinical Oncology recommends SRT before PSA exceeds 0.25 ng/mL to preserve curative potential.

0.5–1.0 ng/mL:
Salvage radiation remains beneficial but may require combining with androgen deprivation therapy (ADT) for higher-risk cases.

This article discusses the above;
https://ascopost.com/news/march-2023/psa-level-at-time-of-salvage-radiation-therapy-after-radical-prostatectomy-and-risk-of-all-cause-mortality/
Some doctors want to wait for metastasis to show up so they can zap them. With such a fast rising PSA that seems a little different from SOC. I know I would want to ask my doctor why they are not considering salvage radiation.

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@jeffmarc I went 6 years after my prostectomy undetectible, then 1st BCR and salvage radiation and target radiation after PSMA PET/CT showed small pelvic leasion moderate uptake of Gal8 tracer.

This time 22 months on ADT and Bilcal, could not tolerate Zytiga, liver enzymes issue so used bical. That is where I am now and I do trust my physician team.

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Profile picture for Jeff Marchi @jeffmarc

@gtin723
While putting you on Xtandi Could bring your PSA back down it is not the standard of care most doctors follow. Here’s what the American Society of clinical oncology recommends if your PSA rises after having a prostatectomy. If they can’t find a metastasis using a PET scan, this becomes even more important.

From Ascopubs about what PSA to do salvage radiation.
≤0.2 ng/mL:
Starting at this level maximizes disease control and long-term survival. Patients treated at PSA < 0.2 ng/mL achieve higher rates of undetectable post-SRT PSA (56-70%) and improved 5-year progression-free survival (62.7-75%).
Delaying SRT beyond PSA ≥0.25 ng/mL increases mortality risk by ~50%.

0.2–0.5 ng/mL:
Still effective, particularly for patients with low-risk features (e.g., Gleason ≤7, slow PSA doubling time). The Journal of Clinical Oncology recommends SRT before PSA exceeds 0.25 ng/mL to preserve curative potential.

0.5–1.0 ng/mL:
Salvage radiation remains beneficial but may require combining with androgen deprivation therapy (ADT) for higher-risk cases.

This article discusses the above;
https://ascopost.com/news/march-2023/psa-level-at-time-of-salvage-radiation-therapy-after-radical-prostatectomy-and-risk-of-all-cause-mortality/
Some doctors want to wait for metastasis to show up so they can zap them. With such a fast rising PSA that seems a little different from SOC. I know I would want to ask my doctor why they are not considering salvage radiation.

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@jeffmarc

Yes, every single study showed those results and they were done on thousands of patients and were randomized.

I am yet to find and TRUE randomized study that shows that waiting for lesion to show is a good idea ! I think that people do not necessarily know difference between different kind of studies (randomized, retrospective, case controlled ) and also where were they done (one location, multiple, single country or multiple ) etc. etc.

There is no single randomized study that was even done to compare patients who waited and did not - to the contrary , every single world renowned organization who DID randomized studies confirmed - do salvage if all possible BEFORE 0.25 after RP for the best possible outcome.

Members here are starting to mix salvage RT post RP with salvage RT after initial salvage failed - those are completely different categories.

Also, age of patient and comorbidities can make a major difference in proposed recommendations for further treatment.

There are randomized studies for salvage RT post RP that went into 0.05 increases and compared results and that is how they not only came to 0.2 but to 0.25 as a cut-off for the best results.

My sincere advice to all is to read, read and read - find studies and "study". Answer is very obvious regardless what business oriented PC influences on the web say ;).

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Profile picture for surftohealth88 @surftohealth88

@jeffmarc

Yes, every single study showed those results and they were done on thousands of patients and were randomized.

I am yet to find and TRUE randomized study that shows that waiting for lesion to show is a good idea ! I think that people do not necessarily know difference between different kind of studies (randomized, retrospective, case controlled ) and also where were they done (one location, multiple, single country or multiple ) etc. etc.

There is no single randomized study that was even done to compare patients who waited and did not - to the contrary , every single world renowned organization who DID randomized studies confirmed - do salvage if all possible BEFORE 0.25 after RP for the best possible outcome.

Members here are starting to mix salvage RT post RP with salvage RT after initial salvage failed - those are completely different categories.

Also, age of patient and comorbidities can make a major difference in proposed recommendations for further treatment.

There are randomized studies for salvage RT post RP that went into 0.05 increases and compared results and that is how they not only came to 0.2 but to 0.25 as a cut-off for the best results.

My sincere advice to all is to read, read and read - find studies and "study". Answer is very obvious regardless what business oriented PC influences on the web say ;).

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@surftohealth88
Absolutely find studies and more studies to review from all reputable sources especially centers of excellence. Don’t stop there, but look into the current clinical studies regarding these things. See how far along they are Phase 1,2 or 3. Getting to a phase 3 has taken considerable review processes that a certain treatment or approach will work. There must be some empirical evidence supporting it. There may be interim studies updating results. Don’t limit yourself to just US studies why does the EAU have a higher threshold. They have studies too.

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Profile picture for wheel1 @wheel1

@surftohealth88
Absolutely find studies and more studies to review from all reputable sources especially centers of excellence. Don’t stop there, but look into the current clinical studies regarding these things. See how far along they are Phase 1,2 or 3. Getting to a phase 3 has taken considerable review processes that a certain treatment or approach will work. There must be some empirical evidence supporting it. There may be interim studies updating results. Don’t limit yourself to just US studies why does the EAU have a higher threshold. They have studies too.

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@wheel1
Exactly what I said : ))) - randomized multi center studies are the best. Read them all. If lets say 10 of 11 show the same thing, that 1 is probably not what you wish to follow.

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