Actually, the article I was referring to was just released on the 17th of April. Here is 1 Hour and 12 Minutes of the Doctor/Professor/Epidemiologist Explaining why the death count is likely much lower than stated, he's enjoyable to watch because he's not political. I hope you, and others, enjoy it as much as my wife and I have.
Perspectives on the Pandemic | Dr. John Ioannidis Update: 4.17.20 | Episode 4
While I have your attention, let me tell you things that I know. I taught Air Purifying Respirators for nearly 8 years, to 1200 people per year, in classes of 35 or so, in an Industrial Setting. I've been through the information before. N-95 - does any one even know what the N Means? It means Not Oil Resistant, versus R-95 that are Oil Resistant, and P-95, which is oil proof - There's 95%, 99%, and 99.97% (basically 100%) that refer to the ability of the respirators to filter particles 0.3 microns in diameter or larger. The virus in question is smaller than 0.125 microns? I'm at a loss to see how professionals are sufficiently protected by a respirator that is not only permitting the virus to pass through the filtering media, albeit in small numbers, but that also, by the nature of the respirator (Negative Pressure Filtering Facepiece Respirators and Elastomeric Respirators [the kind used with replaceable cartridges] both types experience leaks at the face to facepiece seal. 3M advises against the use of such respirators for dangerous pathogens for that very reason. Yet not only are the respirators not available to the public, not only are they allowing a reduced percentage of pathogens around the seal or through the filtering element anyway, but the eyes are an entry point for the virus as well. So the authorities say to wrap a scarf around your face and you're protected? This entire pandemic, from the U.S. and world perspective, is not being handled according the harm that they tell us is occurring (and I am not saying it's a hoax). I believe the media may be overstating things so that people take it seriously, and people should take it seriously, especially those in higher risk categories and those that visit such people. But conspiracy theories can involve the overstating of a situation as well as understating it. I think we're programmed to think of certain people when we say Conspiracy Theories, and yes, I've read older articles by Stanford Epidemiologists saying the situation is being over stated, but with the new study from California, they appear to be right.
At some point we must consider the deaths from a wrecked economy possibly exceeding the deaths from the virus. I only stated to relax when I researched and discovered statistics on other diseases, such as up to 80,000+ deaths from the flu in the U.S. on some bad years, and 600,000 World Wide.
If it's so contagious, and the respirators leak, and permeate, as I said, and I can offer the 3M Documentation saying that such respirators must not be used for dangerous pathogens, something just isn't right with what we're seeing.
You cannot extrapolate the deaths in 2 months to a years worth of flu deaths, the flu deaths occur over 4 months top. 80,000 deaths in a flu season a few years ago is 20,000 per month averaged over 4 months, and 26,000+ per month averaged over 3 months. At this time. we simply don't know if this virus will continue through the summer, I agree if the rate would continue unabated the situation would be worrisome. Watch the video, he's advocating a slow return to normal, when it's decided that it's time. So people can be reassured, but I agree, we must all still be careful.
@soliloquized I read your post with interest and have always been curious about how individuals make their career choices. An exec. dir. once said I "should have been a reporter because I ask so many questions"...vbg Just a lifelong curiosity and find it fun to learn more about others. Often a person "lands" in a field almost by happenstance which happened to me. Did something specific lead you to your field of training others in use of respirators? Were you already working in the industrial setting you mentioned?
I appreciated learning about the differences in the N ratings and labels for various respirators.
As an elder with several serious chronic health issues, I am taking and will continue to take more precautions for safety than many others may be observing. I'm adhering to the personal belief that if the virus is "somewhere", it can be "anywhere". I may be overly cautious and much slower than many in venturing out again but my primary goal right now is not to become a covid-19 statistic.
Thanks for your information and the snapshot into your career. Wishing all a safe and healthy weekend and week ahead.
@soliloquized I read your post with interest and have always been curious about how individuals make their career choices. An exec. dir. once said I "should have been a reporter because I ask so many questions"...vbg Just a lifelong curiosity and find it fun to learn more about others. Often a person "lands" in a field almost by happenstance which happened to me. Did something specific lead you to your field of training others in use of respirators? Were you already working in the industrial setting you mentioned?
I appreciated learning about the differences in the N ratings and labels for various respirators.
As an elder with several serious chronic health issues, I am taking and will continue to take more precautions for safety than many others may be observing. I'm adhering to the personal belief that if the virus is "somewhere", it can be "anywhere". I may be overly cautious and much slower than many in venturing out again but my primary goal right now is not to become a covid-19 statistic.
Thanks for your information and the snapshot into your career. Wishing all a safe and healthy weekend and week ahead.