← Return to The Age Old Question, what do you mean when you say ...cured!?

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Profile picture for northoftheborder @northoftheborder

❝ There are statistics about 5 and 10 year survival.
❝ The older I get the more I understand there are less days in front of me than behind me, so get on with life.

All very true and wise. I'll just add that 5- and 10-year survival stats are trailing indicators (significantly so). When you see a 5- or 10-year survival stat, what it usually means is "If you'd been first diagnosed in 2005 or 2010, your odds of surviving 5 and 10 years would have been X." It takes that long to get from initial selection of participants to study execution to study results to the secondary lit reviews and research papers most specialists cite, even if their papers have very recent dates.

Does that mean our odds are always going to be improving? Of course not. But over all, cancer treatments have changed so much over the past 5–10 years that you need to take most existing survival stats with a whole shaker full of salt. In 10 years or so, we'll know what our survival odds were (and I wouldn't bet against our being there to see them).

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Replies to "❝ There are statistics about 5 and 10 year survival. ❝ The older I get the..."

Thanx, should have clarified my comment on the statistics.

You know my feelings about the lag time in statistics and the fact that they are population based!

The stats are rubbish. They are based on the old SEERS data which was only ADT. The stats used for 5 year survival on the internet stills says 28-33%. That is just crap. Some men do not die of this disease. They die of something else along the way. I have a man who recently passed away from this disease after a long 9-10 year battle. He always said he was afraid to take chemo. So, he never did. It makes you wonder if things would have been different.