Choosing Active Surveillance over any further treatment at this time

Posted by ovstampco @ovstampco, Mar 23 1:26pm

This is a new comment , not related to the last post I'm not sure how to start a new thread but this is my issue and feel free to reply with any insights . I'm 68 and over the last 2 years I've had my PSA tested 4 times - each test with a lower number than the last . I also had a 3T-MRI which showed a small 5mm lesion contained in my prostate with no sign of migration . My health care provider ( Kaiser - California ) will not approve any other test ( i.e. PSE , PSMA etc. ) I don't know if I can even talk them into a follow up MRI as it took me 2 months to approve of the first one after being rejected over and over ..... here is the reason I'm choosing AS over any further treatment at this time :
When considering the life expectancy and mortality risk between two 68-year-old men, one with untreated prostate cancer (PSA = 8.6, Gleason score of 3+4) and the other with normal PSA and Gleason levels (no prostate cancer), several key factors must be taken into account, including the severity of prostate cancer, overall health, and other potential causes of death. Let's analyze the two scenarios in detail.

1. 68-Year-Old with Prostate Cancer (PSA = 8.6, Gleason Score 3+4)
PSA Level (8.6): A PSA level of 8.6 is elevated and suggests the presence of prostate cancer, though it’s not extremely high. PSA levels can fluctuate and are influenced by several factors, but PSA is a primary marker used to detect prostate issues.

Gleason Score (3+4 = 7): A Gleason score of 7 indicates intermediate-grade prostate cancer. This means the cancer is more aggressive than a low-grade (Gleason 6) cancer, but it is not as aggressive as high-grade cancers (Gleason 8-10). Gleason 7 cancer has a moderate likelihood of spreading beyond the prostate if left untreated, although many men with Gleason 7 prostate cancer live for years without it spreading aggressively.

Life Expectancy & Mortality Risk:

Life Expectancy: For a 68-year-old man with untreated Gleason 7 prostate cancer and PSA of 8.6, life expectancy will be influenced by several factors:

Prostate Cancer Prognosis: Untreated prostate cancer with a Gleason score of 7 (especially 3+4) is typically not immediately life-threatening. However, the cancer may spread over time, affecting the individual’s overall prognosis. While some men with intermediate-grade prostate cancer can live for many years with good quality of life, others may experience progression.

Overall Health: If the person is otherwise healthy with no significant comorbidities, life expectancy could still be in the range of 15-20 years or more, though this could be shortened if the cancer progresses and metastasizes.

Mortality Risk:

Prostate Cancer Mortality: The risk of dying from prostate cancer in this case is moderate but not extremely high. Untreated, Gleason 7 cancer can eventually lead to metastasis, and advanced prostate cancer can become life-threatening.

Death from All Causes: The individual’s risk of dying from other causes (e.g., heart disease, stroke, accidents) is still significant, given age and the fact that prostate cancer is just one factor. The presence of cancer increases mortality risk compared to someone with no cancer, but the risk of death from prostate cancer itself is moderate.

2. 68-Year-Old with Normal PSA and Gleason Score (No Prostate Cancer)
Normal PSA and Gleason Score: In this case, there is no evidence of prostate cancer. The person’s PSA is within normal limits (under 4.0 ng/mL) and their Gleason score is not applicable, as there is no cancer present. This person does not face the risk of prostate cancer, which significantly impacts overall mortality and life expectancy.

Life Expectancy & Mortality Risk:

Life Expectancy: This individual is generally expected to live as long as the average 68-year-old. The life expectancy could be around 15-20 more years, depending on their overall health and lifestyle. Without cancer, they are not facing the additional health risks associated with untreated prostate cancer.

Mortality Risk:

Death from Prostate Cancer: There is no risk of dying from prostate cancer in this case.

Death from All Causes: Mortality risks are similar to the general population, depending on comorbidities and lifestyle factors. Cardiovascular disease, respiratory conditions, or other chronic conditions become more relevant risks with age.

Comparing Life Expectancy and Mortality from All Causes:
68-Year-Old with Prostate Cancer (PSA 8.6, Gleason 3+4)
Life Expectancy: Likely in the range of 15-20 years or possibly more, depending on the progression of the cancer and any other health factors. The cancer could progress, but Gleason 7 prostate cancer is typically not immediately fatal, and many men live for years with untreated or managed prostate cancer.

Mortality Risk:

Prostate Cancer Mortality: Given the Gleason score of 7, the risk of dying specifically from prostate cancer is moderate. Without treatment, there is a higher likelihood of progression to metastatic disease, which can increase mortality risk.

Mortality from All Causes: Increased risk of mortality from other causes (such as heart disease, stroke, etc.) compared to someone without prostate cancer.

68-Year-Old with Normal PSA and Gleason Score
Life Expectancy: Likely to be in the range of 15-20 more years, depending on overall health and lifestyle factors, since there’s no prostate cancer or other significant health issues.

Mortality Risk:

Prostate Cancer Mortality: Zero, since there’s no prostate cancer.

Mortality from All Causes: Similar to the general population for a 68-year-old, with risks increasing as the individual ages, but not specifically elevated due to prostate cancer.

Conclusion:
Life expectancy for both individuals is relatively similar, but the 68-year-old with untreated Gleason 7 prostate cancer (PSA = 8.6) may have a slightly reduced life expectancy due to the cancer’s potential to spread over time. However, many men with Gleason 7 prostate cancer live for many years without significant symptoms.

Mortality risk from prostate cancer is moderate for the person with Gleason 7 cancer, and their overall mortality risk (from all causes) is likely higher than that of the person with no cancer, due to the additional cancer-related health risks.

The individual with normal PSA and Gleason levels, being cancer-free, has a life expectancy similar to the general population, with typical risks associated with aging. Their risk of dying from prostate cancer is zero, but they may face the usual age-related mortality risks.

Overall, the 68-year-old with Gleason 7 prostate cancer has an increased risk of dying from prostate cancer and possibly a slightly higher overall risk of death from other causes, compared to the person with no prostate cancer. However, their life expectancy may still be fairly similar to the average for their age, especially if the cancer remains indolent and untreated.

Interested in more discussions like this? Go to the Prostate Cancer Support Group.

I can’t imagine having my MRI showing a lesion and not getting a biopsy. Even if my PSA was stable. You have received many great responses so far that are all valid and most suggest further evaluation, PSE, decipher etc.
I have learned many things from this forum and there is no way to compare anyone’s situation with another’s. Everyone is going to have different outcomes when their situations may look identical. You have to take in all the information and make the decision that is right for you. I am 66 and chose TULSA Pro last July for my Gleason 7 (4+3). It was the right choice for me given the information I had and the risk tolerance I was comfortable with. My biopsy only showed cancer in the lesion that was on my MRI. I would push Kaiser for more testing.
Another thing I learned from this forum is you don’t want to roll the dice on cancer breaching the prostate.

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I am another one of those people that had a 3+4 Gleason Score after the biopsy but when I had my prostate removed, Gleason was 4+3 which is much more aggressive and needs to be treated. I know a number of people who have the same situation with a higher Gleason after surgery.

Active surveillance may work for you. Just make sure you get your PSA tested every three months. In the beginning.

Dying From prostate cancer is extremely painful. My father died of it, and he was on such heavy drugs in the last couple of weeks that he could barely talk, Definitely could not carry on a conversation.

If you want to have the lowest chance of dying of prostate cancer And the least disruption in your life have SBRT radiation and don’t do ADT. I’d mention other techniques that don’t require radiation, but Kaiser does not use them. There’s one(Tulsa-Pro) that’s $30,000 that is very successful., If you’re interested.

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I’m 61. PSA Jan 17 was 8.1, Jan 20 was 7.8, March 20 was 5.4. MRI was PIRADS 3 with no focal lesions but an enlarged prostate (95ml). Radiologist said malignancy less likely. So do I proceed with additional PSA tests, MRI or biopsy? My thought was another PSA in 3 months. But over the last two months I’ve made significant changes to diet, exercise, lost 20lbs and take a prostate supplement. Thoughts?

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@ezupcic

I’m 61. PSA Jan 17 was 8.1, Jan 20 was 7.8, March 20 was 5.4. MRI was PIRADS 3 with no focal lesions but an enlarged prostate (95ml). Radiologist said malignancy less likely. So do I proceed with additional PSA tests, MRI or biopsy? My thought was another PSA in 3 months. But over the last two months I’ve made significant changes to diet, exercise, lost 20lbs and take a prostate supplement. Thoughts?

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More tests will confirm things for you. I would ask for a PSE test, as it is 95% accurate for detecting prostate cancer. If that shows something then it goes to a biopsy and additional tests to determine what's going on. It sounds like, from your description, that it may simply be an enlarged prostate rather than cancer, but better safe than sorry. You're still young enough to take care of this.

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I’ll ask my primary about the PSE which seems like an option that many Urologists do not mention including mine who suggested biopsy.

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One thing not to consider, with a 3+4 gleason score and choosing radiation, there is no need to take testorone therapy. Also, the results of the radiation are equal to surgery with in my mind some additional benefits, such as reduced chance of incontinents by keeping your prostate. Also surgery will result in immediate ED for a extended time, (12-18 months) which may not go away. With radiation there is a potential for ED, but it is over time and not immediate. I am 68, PSA 8.3, 3+4 gleason score and went with radiation. I wan't interested in AS that would have included additional biopsies. I struggled with AS vs. radiation, but surgery was not even in the question with me.

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@ezupcic

I’m 61. PSA Jan 17 was 8.1, Jan 20 was 7.8, March 20 was 5.4. MRI was PIRADS 3 with no focal lesions but an enlarged prostate (95ml). Radiologist said malignancy less likely. So do I proceed with additional PSA tests, MRI or biopsy? My thought was another PSA in 3 months. But over the last two months I’ve made significant changes to diet, exercise, lost 20lbs and take a prostate supplement. Thoughts?

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While I would recommend a PSE test. If your doctor won’t do it your doctor may know of another test that works to let you know if you have cancer before a biopsy. If you can’t get a PSE ask if they’ve got something else that’s similar.

The large prostate can be what was causing your high PSA. I know Someonewith exactly the same problem but his PSA was 50 and his biopsies were clear. The fact that it’s gone down could mean your prostate size is reduced as well. Were you taking any drugs for BPH like finasteride ot Dutasteride?

That big drop in PSA Is really positive, Keep it up. 😀

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No I haven’t been diagnosed with BPH so I’m not being treated for that although the MRI did confirm an enlarged prostate (95 ml) Here is an excerpt from my radiologist…..“ 1. Diffuse abnormality the peripheral zone. This is a nonspecific finding and can be seen in both acute and chronic prostatitis or other inflammatory process and rarely in diffuse malignancy. Malignancy being considered less likely in the presence of a well defined capsule”…..

At this point the plan is to do another PSA in June unless I can get a PSE sooner. And another MRI in September if PSA increases. I would have more peace of mind if my PSA fell to below 4 but it seems like even at that number Cancer is still possible.

Appreciate your response.

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Hi and thanks for the input and comments . Yes , when I had my first PSA test and it came back at 11 my regular doctor at Kaiser told me to make an appointment with a urologist . My first call to them I was told to schedule a biopsy , initially I thought it would be okay until I checked on what a prostate biopsy entailed and saw that it was a very invasive procedure - which normally I would agree to but I have had two close relatives ( my little sister and my grandmother ) the only 2 people in my immediate family that has had even minor clinical procedures - died of blood infections . This is the main reason that I hesitate to get a biopsy until all other avenues of testing are exhausted .
My first Urologist , who since retired , made a " deal " with me and said she would agree to postpone recommending a biopsy if my PSE tests didn't increase materially and in the meantime I would be on AS with regular monitoring . When I had my next urologist appointment I was assigned a new urologist - first thing he said was that I probably have cancer and he was going to schedule a biopsy - when I told him about my AS he got pissed off at me ! He said that's a bad idea - that was before he gave me a dre , which he said was fine ..... and I hadn't received my next PSE test ( I just today gave my blood sample and am waiting for the results ) . Obviously not all urologists think along the same lines - I asked him since he thinks I have cancer what does he think my gleason score would be - do you think it would be a 3+4 or worse ... again he got testy and said there is no way to know without the test but " maybe in that range " so I made a deal with him , if my next PSA test comes back and its increased by a couple points or more over my first one I will risk the biopsy .
When I asked him about a PSE test or some of the genomic testing he said they have no real track record and he would not approve anything besides a biopsy .
Anyway for now I'm just waiting for the lastest PSA test results- hoping for the best .

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@ovstampco

Hi and thanks for the input and comments . Yes , when I had my first PSA test and it came back at 11 my regular doctor at Kaiser told me to make an appointment with a urologist . My first call to them I was told to schedule a biopsy , initially I thought it would be okay until I checked on what a prostate biopsy entailed and saw that it was a very invasive procedure - which normally I would agree to but I have had two close relatives ( my little sister and my grandmother ) the only 2 people in my immediate family that has had even minor clinical procedures - died of blood infections . This is the main reason that I hesitate to get a biopsy until all other avenues of testing are exhausted .
My first Urologist , who since retired , made a " deal " with me and said she would agree to postpone recommending a biopsy if my PSE tests didn't increase materially and in the meantime I would be on AS with regular monitoring . When I had my next urologist appointment I was assigned a new urologist - first thing he said was that I probably have cancer and he was going to schedule a biopsy - when I told him about my AS he got pissed off at me ! He said that's a bad idea - that was before he gave me a dre , which he said was fine ..... and I hadn't received my next PSE test ( I just today gave my blood sample and am waiting for the results ) . Obviously not all urologists think along the same lines - I asked him since he thinks I have cancer what does he think my gleason score would be - do you think it would be a 3+4 or worse ... again he got testy and said there is no way to know without the test but " maybe in that range " so I made a deal with him , if my next PSA test comes back and its increased by a couple points or more over my first one I will risk the biopsy .
When I asked him about a PSE test or some of the genomic testing he said they have no real track record and he would not approve anything besides a biopsy .
Anyway for now I'm just waiting for the lastest PSA test results- hoping for the best .

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That is a legitimate concern over infections with a traditional trans-rectal biopsy. Fortunately, there is a newer procedure, the trans-perineal biopsy, that eliminates almost all risk of infection.

Not every practitioner does it yet (or even knows how to do it), but with your family history, I think you could make a strong case even if your insurer baulks at any extra cost.

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